There is no need to braces for Armagaden yet.
It seems tomorrow that after reaching the level of apocalypse, the “City Killer” asteroid 2024 YRR4 has dramatically dropped on our planet.
NASA yesterday announced in an X post that Space Rock is now 1 in 67, or 1.5% of hits at home in 2032.
It was based on new orbital data, especially on the exhalation-outstanding update-which measures between 131 and 295 feet diameter-which according to the website of the space agency was collected between 18 to 19 February to 19 February according to the website of the Space Agency. Was.
NASA wrote on X, “Asteroid 2024 YRR4’s new comments helped us update the possibility of its impact in 2032,” we will keep posting you. ,
It marks a relief reversal, which was seen on 1 in 1 in the effect risk factor 32, or 3.1% – it – it is NASA’s center of NASA for orange risk Made the most dangerous asteroid since installation. Table, Space.com reported.
According to Richard Moisl, head of the European Space Agency’s planetary defense office, yesterday’s percentage was the spike “historic”, which keeps the current impact obstacles at only 1.38%.
This twist of events correspond to scientific predictions that the risk will touch the risk before reversing the course.
Bruce Bates, key researchers at the non -profit planetary society estimated that as soon as astronomers collected more data, the Auds rose to zero before going back to zero, as the past had occurred with many killers asteroids in the past.
However, we are not yet completely out of the forest. The YRR4 still sits on a level three on the torino scale – a standard rubric for the risk of NEOS (near the Earth’s objects) that measures more than 65 feet diameter and 1% or more likely to have a deep effect.
According to the scale, this asteroid is a “closer encounter, drawing attention by astronomers” and “1% or more likely to be capable of localized destruction.”
If it collides with the house, the upcoming energy explosion will be equal to 8 megatons of TNT, about 500 times the power of the atomic bomb on Hiroshima, The Independent said.
The YRR4’s estimated path consists of eight of the world’s largest population hub- including Bogota in Colombia, Lagos in Nigeria, and Mumbai and Chennai in India- about 110 million people with a risk population.
“If you place it over Paris or London or New York, you originally erase the entire city and some environment,” Bates warned.
Even if it remembers our planet, the space rock still said in 125 or 0.8% of the moon, Space.com said.
To not mention that it is very difficult to predict the path of asteroid at this time, so the effect in the possibility of whipplash-uppercation fluctuations. Catalina Sky Survey Scientist David Rankin corresponded to uncertainty for a yardstick.
“Imagine to hold a stick that is a few feet long. If you move the stick a fraction of an inch in your hand, you hardly notice any movement at the other end, ”said the asteroid tracker. “Now imagine that the stick is many millions of miles long. Moving your hand a fraction of one inch will lead to dramatic changes at the other end. ,
He said, “In the case, that ‘one inch fraction’ is a small uncertainty in the measurement of the condition of asteroid from the images of the binoculars that can arise from short time errors and short status errors.”
We may have to wait for some time to correctly assess the risk.
The asteroid will fly behind the Sun in April, excluding most of the earth’s terrestrial telescopes, until it comes back to view in 2028.
