Three primary factors go into my projections for the NBA draft:
All three of those factors have helped predict how well college and international players will perform in the NBA. Let’s take a closer look at them.
The last five seasons: 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024
Projected performance
For college and international players alike, my projections start with translating what players have done before with what they will do in the NBA for 14 core statistics: 2-point percentage; 3-point percentage; free throw percentage; offensive and defensive rebound percentage; assists; steals and fouls per 100 team plays; blocks per 100 2-point attempts; percentage of individual plays devoted to 2-point, 3-point and free throw attempts; turnovers; and usage rate.
Some stats tend to decline once players enter the league more than others. For example, free throw percentage rarely changes much, but players shoot much worse percentages from the field. For college players, this process also adjusts for strength of schedule to put players who faced different levels of competition on a level playing field.
Utilizing multiple seasons of data yields better projections than looking solely at the most recent season. In fact, for college players I’ve found that earlier seasons tend to project NBA performance better than more recent seasons because older prospects no longer have the same experience advantage in the NBA. So the player’s most recent season is weighted two times, the season before that (if available) three times, and two seasons before that five times. The weights are opposite for international prospects, who haven’t demonstrated the same pattern because they are playing against older opponents.
The last factor in the projections is regressing performance to positional averages for NBA rookies (for college prospects) and replacement-level performance (for international players). This helps account for outliers, particularly for stats that tend to fluctuate, such as 3-point percentage. As a sophomore at Arizona, Derrick Williams shot 56.8 percent on 74 3-point attempts. Williams has made 29.9 percent of his 3s during his NBA career.
It doesn’t make sense to regress a point guard to the same assist rate or block rate as a center, so this is the one place where positions affect my projections. This tends to have more impact for players who saw limited action in college or overseas than experienced players. It also can be problematic for versatile players, such as Ben Simmons, whose stat lines don’t look like any one particular position.
WARP projections
The statistics-only version of my projections estimates the wins above replacement player (WARP) that a prospect will average during his first five seasons in the league, adjusted to favor immediate projection by discounting performance in future years.
Editor’s Picks
To calculate this, I’ve used past players in my database — which is largely complete back through the 2006 draft and includes a handful of players back through 2003 for whom per-play college stats are available — to run a model projecting WARP based on the player’s projected win percentage (the per-minute version of WARP, akin to PER) as a rookie and his age.
Because players tend to develop through around age 27, their age makes a large impact on their projections. All other things being equal, each additional year of age tends to reduce a player’s projected NBA value by about 0.5 WARP per season.
Since 2018, the WARP projections have included a higher replacement level for centers and power forwards than perimeter players — particularly wings. Note that this change has not been applied retroactively to past projections before 2018.
Consensus projections
Inspired by draft analyst Layne Vashro’s Humble model (Vashro is now working for Kroenke Sports & Entertainment, the parent company of the Denver Nuggets), in 2015 I introduced consensus projections that also include the league’s assessment of a prospect’s talent. For past prospects, I measure this with where they were actually drafted. For current prospects, I estimate this using their rank in our top 100.
Using the actual draft slot plays a factor in subjective scouting analysis and improves projections, so I tend to use it as my primary ranking of players, while also showing the stats-only projections when possible.
Former projections
To give an idea of how my projections have worked — and when they haven’t — here are the rankings for the 2006 through 2019 drafts, based on my current projection model:
2019 Draft Projections
PLAYERPICKWARPRKHUMBLERKZion Williamson14.715.21Ja Morant22.553.32Chuma Okeke162.622.33RJ Barrett31.2252.24Sekou Doumbouya152.262.15Darius Garland51.3212.06Jarrett Culver61.3201.97Coby White71.3191.88Cam Reddish101.6141.89De’Andre Hunter40.5411.610John KoncharUD2.631.611Matisse Thybulle201.7111.512Shamorie PondsUD2.641.513Nickeil Alexander-Walker171.4171.414Jaxson Hayes80.9331.415Brandon Clarke211.5151.416Alen Smailagic392.081.417Bol Bol442.071.318Dylan Windler261.6131.319Tyler Herro130.9291.220Darius Bazley231.3181.221Kevin Porter Jr.301.5161.122Ty Jerome241.3241.123Talen Horton-Tucker461.891.124Romeo Langford140.7341.125Cameron Johnson110.6401.126Chris ClemonsUD1.7101.027Zach NorvellUD1.7120.928Grant Williams220.9310.929Nassir Little250.9320.830Goga Bitadze180.5420.731Tremont Waters511.3230.732Jordan Poole280.7350.733Luka Samanic190.4480.734Josh ReavesUD1.3220.635DaQuan JeffriesUD1.0260.436Dean WadeUD1.0270.437Jared HarperUD0.9280.438Rui Hachimura9-0.6740.439Terence DavisUD0.9300.440Carsen Edwards330.4460.441P.J. Washington12-0.5720.342Kyle Guy550.6370.243Juwan MorganUD0.7360.244Garrison MathewsUD0.6380.245Caleb MartinUD0.6390.146Miye Oni580.5430.147Keldon Johnson28-0.1580.148Bruno Fernando340.0560.149Quinndary Weatherspoon490.3490.150Louis KingUD0.5440.151Jontay PorterUD0.4450.052Luguentz DortUD0.4470.053Justin Wright-Foreman530.2530.054Ky BowmanUD0.3500.055Justin RobinsonUD0.351-0.156Brian BowenUD0.352-0.157Jeremiah MartinUD0.254-0.158Cody Martin36-0.265-0.159Jaylen Nowell43-0.159-0.260Isaiah Roby45-0.160-0.261Rayjon TuckerUD0.155-0.262Jalen McDaniels52-0.263-0.363Moses BrownUD-0.157-0.364Nicolas Claxton31-0.678-0.365Ignas Brazdeikis47-0.369-0.366Max StrusUD-0.161-0.367Charlie BrownUD-0.262-0.468Justin James40-0.573-0.469Devontae CacokUD-0.264-0.470Terance Mann48-0.471-0.471Naz ReidUD-0.266-0.472Jalen LecqueUD-0.367-0.473Donta HallUD-0.368-0.474Mfiondu Kabengele27-0.982-0.475Admiral Schofield42-0.677-0.576Daniel Gafford38-0.779-0.577Adam MokokaUD-0.470-0.578KZ Okpala32-0.983-0.679Amir CoffeyUD-0.675-0.780Oshae BrissettUD-0.676-0.781Jordan Bone57-0.880-0.882Matt MooneyUD-0.881-0.883Vic LawUD-0.984-0.984Jaylen Hoard56-1.085-0.985Eric Paschall41-1.489-1.086Kenny WootenUD-1.286-1.187Tariq OwensUD-1.487-1.288Robert FranksUD-1.488-1.289Marial Shayok54-1.590-1.390Tacko FallUD-1.991-1.691Zylan CheathamUD-2.092-1.692Marques BoldenUD-2.193-1.793Jarrell Brantley50-2.294-1.794Dewan Hernandez59-2.495-1.995Chris SilvaUD-2.496-1.996Kyle AlexanderUD-2.497-1.997Tyler CookUD-2.698-2.098
2018 Draft Projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkLuka Doncic36.115.61Deandre Ayton11.8123.22Trae Young53.023.23Jaren Jackson Jr.42.362.84Mikal Bridges102.942.75Michael Porter142.552.36Dzanan Musa292.932.27Mohamed Bamba61.7162.18Marvin Bagley20.7412.09Miles Bridges121.9111.910Kevin Huerter192.181.811Jacob Evans282.191.612Mitchell Robinson362.371.613Landry Shamet261.7151.414Zhaire Smith161.3211.415De’Anthony Melton462.0101.316Collin Sexton80.7381.317Gary Trent Jr.371.8131.318Wendell Carter70.5431.219Donte DiVincenzo171.1261.220Shai Gilgeous-Alexander110.7361.221Elie Okobo311.5191.222Grayson Allen211.2231.223Josh Okogie201.2241.124Troy Brown150.9301.125Kevin Knox90.5441.126Jevon Carter321.3221.027Lonnie Walker180.8311.028Kenrich WilliamsUD1.8141.029Robert Williams271.1270.930Kevin Hervey571.6170.931Jaylen AdamsUD1.5180.832Bonzie ColsonUD1.5200.833Omari Spellman300.8320.734Vince Edwards521.2250.635Svi Mykhailiuk471.1280.636Devonte’ Graham340.7370.637Khyri Thomas380.8340.538Shake Milton541.0290.539Jalen Brunson330.6420.540Keita Bates-Diop480.7390.341Rawle AlkinsUD0.8330.342Daryl MaconUD0.7350.343Gary ClarkUD0.7400.244Justin Jackson430.3480.145Jerome Robinson13-0.7680.146Moritz Wagner25-0.3590.047Tyler DavisUD0.4450.048Melvin Frazier350.0530.049Chandler Hutchison22-0.4640.050Duncan RobinsonUD0.3460.051J.P. MacuraUD0.347-0.152Chris ChiozzaUD0.349-0.153Theo PinsonUD0.350-0.154Trevon DuvalUD0.251-0.155Alize Johnson500.152-0.156Jarred Vanderbilt41-0.257-0.157Aaron Holiday23-0.665-0.158Donte GranthamUD-0.154-0.359Ray Spalding56-0.156-0.360Brandon GoodwinUD-0.155-0.361Tony Carr51-0.360-0.462Brandon SampsonUD-0.258-0.463Marcus DerricksonUD-0.361-0.564B.J. JohnsonUD-0.362-0.565Allonzo TrierUD-0.463-0.566Bruce Brown42-0.767-0.567Joe ChealeyUD-0.666-0.768Yante MatenUD-0.869-0.869Hamidou Diallo45-1.070-0.870Devon Hall53-1.171-1.071Deng AdelUD-1.172-1.072Yuta WatanabeUD-1.273-1.173Chimezie Metu49-1.575-1.274Thomas Welsh58-1.474-1.275Cameron ReynoldsUD-1.676-1.476Drew EubanksUD-1.777-1.477Johnathan WilliamsUD-1.778-1.478Kostas Antetokounmpo60-2.079-1.679Jared TerrellUD-2.080-1.680George King59-2.081-1.781Angel DelgadoUD-2.382-1.982Zach LoftonUD-3.183-2.483
2017 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkLonzo Ball23.614.11Markelle Fultz12.043.32Jonathan Isaac62.222.53Dennis Smith Jr.91.962.14Zach Collins101.952.05Jayson Tatum30.8252.06Lauri Markkanen71.5131.97Josh Jackson40.7301.78Frank Ntilikina81.1201.69OG Anunoby231.871.510De’Aaron Fox50.6331.511John Collins191.5121.412Tony Bradley281.791.413Josh Hart301.781.314Justin Patton161.1181.315Monte Morris512.031.216Donovan Mitchell130.9221.217Luke Kennard120.8271.218Malik Monk110.7281.219Tyler Lydon241.3161.220Isaiah Hartenstein431.6111.021TJ Leaf180.9231.022Aleksandar Vezenkov571.6100.923Alec Peters541.4150.824Jarrett Allen220.7310.825Thomas Bryant421.2170.826Derrick Walton Jr.UD1.4140.727Andzejs Pasecniks250.7290.728Bam Adebayo140.2410.729Ike Anigbogu471.1190.730Harry Giles200.4360.631D.J. Wilson170.3390.632Frank Jackson310.6340.533Jawun Evans390.7320.434Caleb Swanigan260.3380.435Derrick White290.4370.436Chris BoucherUD1.0210.437Luke KornetUD0.9240.338Alpha Kaba600.8260.339Davon Reed320.2420.240Ivan Rabb350.3400.241Justin A. Jackson15-0.5550.242Mathias Lessort500.4350.243Sterling Brown460.1440.044Vlatko Cancar490.1430.045Tyler Dorsey410.048-0.146Damyean Dotson440.046-0.147Jonah Bolden36-0.250-0.148Semi Ojeleye37-0.252-0.149Jordan Bell38-0.251-0.150Nigel HayesUD0.045-0.251Terrance Ferguson21-0.866-0.252London PerrantesUD0.047-0.353Kyle Kuzma27-0.763-0.354Frank Mason III34-0.659-0.355Edmond Sumner52-0.353-0.456Charles CookeUD-0.249-0.457Dillon Brooks45-0.554-0.458Sindarius Thornwell48-0.557-0.559Ben MooreUD-0.556-0.660Kobi SimmonsUD-0.558-0.661Nigel Williams-Goss55-0.762-0.762Antonio BlakeneyUD-0.660-0.763Jacob WileyUD-0.761-0.764Naz Mitrou-LongUD-0.864-0.865Gian ClavellUD-0.865-0.866Devin RobinsonUD-1.067-0.967Ognjen Jaramaz58-1.068-1.068Tyler CavanaughUD-1.269-1.169Johnathan MotleyUD-1.270-1.170Dwayne Bacon40-1.574-1.171Jaron Blossomgame59-1.271-1.172PJ DozierUD-1.372-1.273Milton DoyleUD-1.573-1.374Jabari Bird56-1.576-1.375Jamel ArtisUD-1.575-1.376Xavier Rathan-MayesUD-1.677-1.477Wesley Iwundu33-2.182-1.478Kadeem Allen53-1.878-1.479Antonius ClevelandUD-1.979-1.680Erik McCreeUD-1.980-1.681Matt WilliamsUD-2.081-1.682Isaiah HicksUD-2.283-1.883Rodney PurvisUD-2.484-1.984Mangok MathiangUD-2.485-1.985
2016 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkBen Simmons12.463.61Dragan Bender43.423.62Brandon Ingram21.9112.93Jakob Poeltl92.452.54Zhou Qi433.512.35Juan Hernangomez152.642.36Kris Dunn51.5182.17Jamal Murray71.7142.18Buddy Hield61.2271.99Ante Zizic232.371.810Wade Baldwin171.9121.811Fred VanVleetUD2.831.712Marquese Chriss81.1311.613Denzel Valentine141.5191.614Ivica Zubac322.181.615Domantas Sabonis111.2301.516Tyler Ulis341.9131.417Henry Ellenson181.4221.418Guerschon Yabusele161.3231.419Patrick McCaw381.9101.320Gary Payton IIUD2.191.221Furkan Korkmaz261.4211.222Caris LeVert201.2281.223Diamond Stone401.7161.124Chinanu Onuaku371.6171.125Deyonta Davis311.4201.126Brice Johnson251.2291.027Jaylen Brown3-0.5681.028Cheick Diallo331.3261.029Ron BakerUD1.7150.930Malik Beasley190.8370.931Stephen Zimmerman411.3240.932Taurean Prince120.3440.933Marcus Paige551.3250.734Kay Felder541.0360.535Derrick JonesUD1.1320.536Shawn LongUD1.1330.537Daniel OchefuUD1.1340.538Skal Labissiere280.4410.539Jarrod UthoffUD1.0350.540Pascal Siakam270.4420.541Malachi Richardson220.2490.442Isaiah Whitehead420.6400.343Dejounte Murray290.3460.344Petr Cornelie530.7380.345DeAndre Bembry21-0.1530.246Daniel Hamilton560.6390.247Demetrius Jackson450.3450.148Dorian Finney-SmithUD0.4430.049Jake Layman470.1500.050Timothe Luwawu24-0.465-0.151Yogi FerrellUD0.347-0.152Tim QuartermanUD0.248-0.153Joel Bolomboy520.051-0.254Damian Jones30-0.464-0.255Isaia Cordinier44-0.255-0.256Rade Zagorac35-0.461-0.257A.J. Hammons46-0.256-0.258Paul Zipser48-0.257-0.359Kyle WiltjerUD0.052-0.360Malcolm Brogdon36-0.566-0.361Ben Bentil51-0.358-0.362Troy WilliamsUD-0.254-0.463Wang Zhelin57-0.359-0.464Tyrone Wallace60-0.460-0.565Mike TobeyUD-0.462-0.566Bryn ForbesUD-0.463-0.567Michael Gbinije49-0.669-0.668Isaiah Cousins59-0.567-0.669Georges Niang50-0.872-0.770Sheldon McClellanUD-0.770-0.771Patricio GarinoUD-0.871-0.872Wayne SeldenUD-0.973-0.973Danuel HouseUD-1.074-1.074Marcus Georges-HuntUD-1.175-1.075David Michineau39-1.578-1.076Marshall PlumleeUD-1.376-1.177David NwabaUD-1.377-1.178Alex PoythressUD-1.679-1.479Abdel Nader58-1.880-1.580Isaiah TaylorUD-2.081-1.681
2015 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkKarl-Anthony Towns13.034.01D’Angelo Russell23.313.92Kristaps Porzingis43.223.53Jahlil Okafor32.0152.84Emmanuel Mudiay72.772.85Frank Kaminsky92.752.76Myles Turner112.682.57Mario Hezonja51.7232.38Stanley Johnson82.1132.39Tyus Jones242.842.210Delon Wright202.692.211Cameron Payne142.2112.012R.J. Hunter282.762.013Justise Winslow101.7251.914Sam Dekker182.2101.915Bobby Portis222.1121.816Kelly Oubre151.8211.817Willie Cauley-Stein61.1311.818Cedi Osman312.0171.519Devin Booker131.2301.420Guillermo Hernangomez351.9191.421Kevon Looney301.8221.322Chris McCullough291.6271.223Trey Lyles120.9391.224Richaun Holmes371.7241.225Terry Rozier161.1331.226Arturas Gudaitis471.9201.227Alan WilliamsUD2.1141.228Briante WeberUD2.0161.129Christian WoodUD1.9181.130Marcus Eriksson501.7261.031Rashad Vaughn170.9401.032Justin Anderson211.0351.033Jerian Grant190.9411.034Daniel Diez541.5290.835Dimitris Agravanis591.5280.836Rondae Hollis-Jefferson230.7430.737Pat Connaughton410.9370.638Montrezl Harrell320.7440.639Tyler Harvey511.0340.640Aaron White490.9380.541Cliff AlexanderUD1.1320.542Larry Nance Jr.270.3490.443Dakari Johnson480.8420.444Luka Mitrovic600.9360.445Darrun Hilliard380.5460.446Nikola Milutinov260.1510.347Jordan Mickey330.1520.148T.J. McConnellUD0.6450.149Jarell Martin25-0.1540.150Nikola Radicevic570.5470.151Branden Dawson560.4480.052Joseph Young430.053-0.153Aaron HarrisonUD0.250-0.154Olivier Hanlan42-0.255-0.255Marcus Thornton45-0.256-0.256Andrew Harrison44-0.758-0.657Josh Richardson40-0.860-0.658J.P. Tokoto58-0.657-0.759Anthony Brown34-1.164-0.760Sir’Dominic Pointer53-0.859-0.761Norman Powell46-1.063-0.862Cady Lalanne55-0.961-0.863Duje DukanUD-0.962-0.964Rakeem Christmas36-1.366-0.965Bryce DeJean-JonesUD-1.365-1.266J.J. O’BrienUD-2.567-2.067
2014 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkMarcus Smart63.613.51Joel Embiid32.973.42Jabari Parker22.583.43Andrew Wiggins11.3202.84Jusuf Nurkic163.332.85Clint Capela253.422.66Noah Vonleh92.492.57Jordan Adams223.062.48Aaron Gordon41.7152.49Nikola Jokic413.152.110Julius Randle71.6162.111Doug McDermott111.8141.912Tyler Ennis182.0111.813Gary Harris191.9121.714Nik Stauskas81.2211.715P.J. Hairston262.0101.616Dario Saric121.4191.617Jarnell Stokes351.9131.418Elfrid Payton100.8321.319Zach Lavine130.9261.220Kyle Anderson301.5171.221K.J. McDaniels321.5181.122James Young170.8311.023Shabazz Napier241.1231.024T.J. Warren140.6331.025Damien Inglis311.2220.926Mitch McGary210.8300.927Spencer Dinwiddie381.1240.728Walter Tavares431.0250.629Dante Exum53.340.630Lamar Patterson480.9280.531Adreian Payne15-0.1470.432Langston GallowayUD0.9270.433Glenn Robinson III400.6380.434Bryce CottonUD0.9290.335Bogdan Bogdanovic270.2410.336Thanasis Antetokounmpo510.6370.237Vasilije Micic520.6360.238Devyn Marble560.6340.239Eric MorelandUD0.6350.140Rodney Hood23-0.2480.141Josh Huestis29-0.1460.142Sim BhullarUD0.4390.143Cleanthony Early340.0430.144Louis Labeyrie570.3400.045Nick Johnson420.045-0.146Tim FrazierUD0.242-0.147Alec Brown500.044-0.248C.J. Wilcox28-0.559-0.249Johnny O’Bryant36-0.453-0.250Jerami Grant39-0.455-0.351Russ Smith47-0.351-0.352Joe Harris33-0.661-0.353Jerrelle BenimonUD-0.249-0.454Andre DawkinsUD-0.250-0.455Jordan Clarkson46-0.558-0.456Tyler JohnsonUD-0.352-0.557Markel Brown44-0.660-0.558Cory Jefferson60-0.454-0.559Alex KirkUD-0.456-0.560Sean KilpatrickUD-0.557-0.661DeAndre Daniels37-0.965-0.662David StocktonUD-0.862-0.863Jabari BrownUD-0.863-0.864Shayne WhittingtonUD-0.864-0.865Alessandro Gentile53-0.966-0.866Tarik BlackUD-1.067-0.967Dwight Powell45-1.370-1.068Nemanja Dangubic54-1.269-1.069James Michael McAdooUD-1.168-1.070Jordan McRae58-1.471-1.271Semaj Christon55-1.572-1.372Cameron Bairstow49-1.875-1.473JaKarr SampsonUD-1.773-1.474Xavier Thames59-1.874-1.575Travis WearUD-2.176-1.776David WearUD-2.677-2.077
2013 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkNerlens Noel63.613.51Anthony Bennett12.1123.42Otto Porter32.723.23Cody Zeller42.553.04Victor Oladipo21.7162.85Kentavious Caldwell-Pope82.642.66C.J. McCollum102.562.57Trey Burke92.292.38Lucas Nogueira162.472.19Michael Carter-Williams112.0132.110Andre Roberson262.632.011Steven Adams121.9151.912Sergey Karasev192.0141.813Ben McLemore71.1341.614Nate Wolters382.281.615Shane Larkin181.6191.516Pierre Jackson422.1101.417Rudy Gobert271.7171.318Kelly Olynyk131.1331.319Alex Len50.3501.320Arsalan Kazemi542.1111.321Glen Rice Jr.351.6181.222Tony Mitchell371.5231.123Alex Abrines321.4251.024Grant Jerrett401.5221.025Mike Muscala441.5201.026Marko Todorovic451.5211.027Reggie Bullock251.0360.928Allen Crabbe311.1280.929Ray McCallum361.1290.830Robert CovingtonUD1.4240.731Tim Hardaway Jr.240.6430.732Jeff Withey391.0370.733Ryan Kelly481.1320.634Phil PresseyUD1.2260.635Bojan Dubljevic591.2270.636Isaiah Canaan340.8390.637Troy DanielsUD1.1300.538James SoutherlandUD1.1310.539Gorgui Dieng210.2520.540Jamaal Franklin410.7400.541D.J. StephensUD1.0350.542Livio Jean-Charles280.4490.443Matthew DellavedovaUD0.9380.444Ian ClarkUD0.7410.245Solomon Hill230.0540.246Joffrey Lauvergne550.6420.247Tony Snell20-0.2560.248Raul Neto470.5450.249Deshaun Thomas580.6440.250James Ennis500.4460.251Erick Green460.4480.252Shabazz Muhammad14-0.7620.153Mason Plumlee22-0.4600.054Seth CurryUD0.4470.055Brandon DaviesUD0.3510.056Archie Goodwin29-0.359-0.157Erik Murphy490.053-0.158Nemanja Nedovic30-0.461-0.259Peyton Siva56-0.155-0.360Lorenzo Brown52-0.358-0.461Adonis ThomasUD-0.357-0.462Carrick Felix33-1.266-0.863Elias HarrisUD-1.063-0.964Alex Oriakhi57-1.164-1.065Romero Osby51-1.267-1.066Vander BlueUD-1.165-1.067DeWayne DedmonUD-1.568-1.368Colton Iverson53-1.869-1.469
2012 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkAnthony Davis15.515.81Bradley Beal32.553.12Dion Waiters42.272.73Michael Kidd-Gilchrist21.3192.54Damian Lillard62.282.55Jared Sullinger213.122.56Andre Drummond91.9132.17Draymond Green352.832.08Jae Crowder342.741.99Terrence Jones182.191.910Thomas Robinson51.1231.911John Jenkins231.9111.612John Henson141.5161.513Jeremy Lamb121.3211.514Royce White161.4171.415Evan Fournier201.6141.416Maurice Harkless151.3201.417Christapher JohnsonUD2.261.318Harrison Barnes70.5341.319Terrence Ross80.5331.220Marcus Denmon592.1101.221Tony Wroten251.3181.222Robbie Hummel581.9121.123Kendall Marshall130.8281.124Furkan Aldemir531.5150.925Khris Middleton391.2220.926Jared Cunningham240.8260.827Austin Rivers10-0.1450.728Tyler Zeller170.3380.629Meyers Leonard11-0.1470.630Kostas Papanikolaou481.0240.631Tomas Satoransky320.7300.632Kyle O’Quinn490.9250.533Will Barton400.7290.534Quincy Miller380.6310.435Arnett Moultrie270.3370.436Quincy Acy370.5350.437Kevin JonesUD0.8270.338Andrew Nicholson19-0.2490.339Orlando Johnson360.3390.240Perry Jones280.1430.241Scott MachadoUD0.6320.142Marquis Teague29-0.1440.143Tornike Shengelia540.3360.044Fab Melo22-0.4500.045Tomislav Zubcic560.240-0.146Doron Lamb42-0.146-0.147Kent BazemoreUD0.241-0.148Maalik WaynsUD0.242-0.149Darius Miller46-0.148-0.250Jeff Taylor31-0.753-0.451Festus Ezeli30-0.754-0.452Tyshawn Taylor41-0.552-0.453Kris Joseph51-0.451-0.454Darius Johnson-Odom55-0.855-0.755Robert Sacre60-0.856-0.856Kim English44-1.157-0.957Mike Scott43-1.258-0.958Henry SimsUD-1.259-1.159Bernard James33-1.761-1.160Miles Plumlee26-1.963-1.161DeQuan JonesUD-1.560-1.362Kevin Murphy47-1.862-1.363
2011 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkKyrie Irving14.224.91Derrick Williams23.333.92Kenneth Faried225.113.83Jonas Valanciunas52.762.94Tristan Thompson42.292.85Alec Burks122.752.56Bismack Biyombo72.2102.57Jimmer Fredette102.482.48Nikola Mirotic232.942.39Kawhi Leonard152.572.310Kemba Walker91.9122.111Brandon Knight81.6192.012Jan Vesely61.0471.713Reggie Jackson242.0101.614JaJuan Johnson271.9141.515Marcus Morris141.3241.516Shelvin Mack342.0111.417Klay Thompson111.0391.418Markieff Morris131.1351.419Jordan Hamilton261.6181.320Chris Singleton181.3271.321Jimmy Butler301.6201.222Tobias Harris191.2281.223Nikola Vucevic161.1381.224Iman Shumpert171.1361.225Trey Thompkins371.7171.226Keith Benson481.9131.227Marshon Brooks251.3261.128Jon Leuer401.6211.129Josh Selby491.7161.130D.J. KennedyUD1.9151.031Justin Harper321.3251.032Cory Joseph291.2311.033Travis Leslie471.6221.034Kyle Singler331.2300.935Milan Macvan541.6230.936Donatas Motiejunas200.8430.937Jordan Williams361.1330.838Tyler Honeycutt351.1370.839Lavoy Allen501.2320.740Jon Diebler511.1340.641Cory HigginsUD1.2290.642Josh Harrellson450.9400.643Chandler Parsons380.7460.544Charles Jenkins440.7440.445Greg SmithUD0.8410.346Malcolm ThomasUD0.8420.347Norris Cole280.2510.348Darius Morris410.4500.249Bojan Bogdanovic310.0540.150E’Twaun Moore550.4480.151Isaiah Thomas600.4490.052Nolan Smith21-0.5570.053Andrew Goudelock460.153-0.154Julyan StoneUD0.152-0.255Malcolm Lee43-0.256-0.256Chris WrightUD-0.255-0.457Xavier SilasUD-1.158-1.058DeAndre Liggins53-1.659-1.359Vernon Macklin52-1.960-1.560Mychel ThompsonUD-2.061-1.661
2010 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkDeMarcus Cousins54.113.91John Wall12.4103.62Greg Monroe73.323.23Derrick Favors32.673.24Gordon Hayward93.333.15Cole Aldrich113.142.86Xavier Henry122.762.57Paul George102.492.48Evan Turner21.1282.49Patrick Patterson142.482.210Hassan Whiteside332.852.011Al-Farouq Aminu81.7182.012Wesley Johnson41.1331.913James Anderson202.1121.814Ed Davis131.5231.615Trevor Booker231.8161.516Daniel Orton292.0141.517Jarvis Varnado412.2111.518Dexter Pittman321.9151.419Ekpe Udoh60.6421.420Dominique Jones251.6201.321Tibor Pleiss311.8171.322Larry Sanders151.1311.323Manny HarrisUD2.0131.124Tiny Gallon471.6191.025Damion James241.1321.026Jerome Jordan441.5221.027Eric Bledsoe180.8370.928Luke Harangody521.6210.929Luke Babbitt160.6400.930Landry Fields391.3250.931Devin Ebanks431.2270.832Jeremy LinUD1.3240.733Willie Warren541.2260.634Avery Bradley190.3480.635Lance Stephenson400.9360.636Paulao Prestes450.9350.637Jordan Crawford270.5430.538Dwayne Collins601.1290.539Solomon Alabi501.0340.540Ben UzohUD1.1300.541Andy Rautins380.7390.542Greivis Vasquez280.4460.543Kevin Seraphin170.0530.544Terrico White360.6410.445Elliot Williams220.1500.446Gani Lawal460.7380.447Lazar Hayward300.0520.148Jeremy Evans550.5440.149Darington Hobson360.1510.150Derrick Caracter580.5450.151Da’Sean Butler420.2490.152Nemanja Bjelica350.0540.053Samardo SamuelsUD0.4470.054Armon Johnson34-0.1550.055Quincy Pondexter26-0.457-0.156Craig Brackins21-0.860-0.257Stanley Robinson59-0.156-0.358Sherron CollinsUD-0.558-0.659Hamady Ndiaye56-0.759-0.760Magnum Rolle51-1.061-0.861Ishmael SmithUD-1.562-1.362Ryan Reid57-2.563-1.963
2009 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkBlake Griffin14.234.91James Harden34.224.32Ricky Rubio53.753.73Stephen Curry73.943.64DeJuan Blair375.013.55Hasheem Thabeet22.0123.06Tyreke Evans42.2112.77Ty Lawson182.872.48Jrue Holiday172.882.39Brandon Jennings102.3142.310Jonny Flynn61.5152.111Nick Calathes453.162.012Jordan Hill81.3191.813Tyler Hansbrough131.5161.614Sergio Llull342.2101.615Daniel Green462.391.516Byron Mullens241.8131.517James Johnson161.1251.218Terrence Williams110.8311.219Earl Clark140.9281.220Darren Collison211.1241.121Eric Maynor201.0261.122Jeff Ayres311.3201.023Chase Budinger441.5170.924Gerald Henderson Jr.120.3420.825DeMar DeRozan90.1490.826Jeff Teague190.7350.827Marcus Thornton431.3210.828DeMarre Carroll270.9290.829Lester Hudson581.4180.830Patrick Beverley421.2230.831Omri Casspi230.7450.732Austin Daye150.3430.733Victor Claver220.5380.734Patrick Mills551.2220.635Henk Norel471.0270.636Jermaine Taylor320.7330.637Wayne Ellington280.6370.638Jodie Meeks410.8300.539Derrick Brown400.8320.540DaJuan Summers350.7340.541Jon Brockman380.5400.342Ahmad Nivins560.7360.243Goran Suton500.5390.244Toney Douglas290.1470.245Taj Gibson26-0.1510.146Chinemelu Elonu590.5410.147Dante Cunningham330.0500.148A.J. Price520.2440.049Emir Preldzic570.148-0.150Robert Dozier600.146-0.251Sam Young36-0.553-0.352Wesley MatthewsUD-0.452-0.553Taylor Griffin48-1.054-0.854Robert Vaden54-1.455-1.255Jack McClinton51-1.556-1.256
2008 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkKevin Love54.614.31Michael Beasley23.724.22Derrick Rose11.7103.13Danilo Gallinari62.943.04Ryan Anderson212.632.15Brook Lopez101.982.16Russell Westbrook41.1212.07Eric Gordon71.4171.98Roy Hibbert172.161.99J.J. Hickson192.071.810Jason Thompson121.6131.711Jerryd Bayless111.5161.712O.J. Mayo30.4291.713Anthony Randolph141.6121.614Robin Lopez151.6111.615Mario Chalmers342.251.616Marreese Speights161.5141.517Kosta Koufos231.891.518D.J. Augustin90.9231.419JaVale McGee181.3181.320George Hill261.5151.321Nicolas Batum251.2261.122Donte Greene281.2191.023D.J. White291.1200.924Darrell Arthur270.9240.825DeAndre Jordan351.0220.826Joe Alexander8-0.1390.827Nikola Pekovic310.8250.628Courtney Lee220.2320.429Brandon Rush13-0.3410.430Kyle Weaver380.4300.331Bill Walker470.5280.332Darnell Jackson520.6270.233Chris Douglas-Roberts400.2310.134J.R. Giddens30-0.1360.135Sean Singletary420.1340.036Malik Hairston480.2330.037Joey Dorsey33-0.442-0.238Anthony MorrowUD0.035-0.339Othello HunterUD-0.137-0.340Rob KurzUD-0.138-0.341DeMarcus NelsonUD-0.240-0.442Sonny Weems39-0.743-0.543Luc Richard Mbah a Moute37-0.844-0.544Joe Crawford58-1.245-1.045
2007 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkGreg Oden13.624.51Kevin Durant23.714.12Mike Conley42.743.13Al Horford32.262.94Brandan Wright82.172.35Rudy Fernandez242.932.26Joakim Noah92.092.27Jeff Green51.6142.28Sean Williams172.452.19Thaddeus Young122.0102.010Rodney Stuckey152.182.011Corey Brewer71.0221.612Spencer Hawes101.2181.613Javaris Crittenton191.7131.514Nick Fazekas342.0111.415Julian Wright131.2191.416Jason Smith201.5161.417Josh McRoberts371.7121.218Marco Belinelli181.0201.119Glen Davis351.5151.120Tiago Splitter281.2171.021Jared Dudley221.0211.022Al Thornton140.4260.823Carl Landry310.9240.724Daequan Cook210.3270.525Aaron Gray491.0230.526Stephane Lasme460.7250.427Wilson Chandler230.1290.428Marcus Williams330.3280.329Aaron Brooks26-0.1320.230Acie Law11-0.8390.131Dominic McGuire470.030-0.132Arron Afflalo27-0.538-0.133Jermareo Davidson36-0.335-0.234Ramon Sessions56-0.131-0.235D.J. Strawberry59-0.133-0.336Demetris Nichols53-0.234-0.337Mario WestUD-0.336-0.538Joel AnthonyUD-0.437-0.539Nick Young16-1.441-0.540Chris Richard41-1.240-0.941
2006 draft projections
PlayerPickWARPRkHumbleRkAndrea Bargnani12.853.91Tyrus Thomas43.613.72Shelden Williams52.733.03LaMarcus Aldridge21.8112.94Patrick O’Bryant92.742.65Rudy Gay81.982.26Paul Millsap473.222.17Adam Morrison30.8281.98Brandon Roy61.3201.99Ronnie Brewer141.9101.810Cedric Simmons151.7131.711Renaldo Balkman201.971.712Rajon Rondo212.061.713Shawne Williams171.8121.714Thabo Sefolosha131.3191.515Quincy Douby191.6151.516J.J. Redick111.1221.417Randy Foye70.7291.418Jordan Farmar261.7141.419Mardy Collins291.6161.220Paul Davis341.5171.121Marcus Williams221.1211.122Justin WilliamsUD1.991.123Hilton Armstrong120.5331.024Daniel Gibson421.5181.025Rodney Carney160.7300.926Sergio Rodriguez270.9250.827Craig Smith360.9270.728Dee D. Brown461.0230.629Josh Boone230.4340.630Leon Powe491.0240.531Chris QuinnUD0.9260.432Solomon Jones330.4350.333Alexander Johnson450.6320.334Tarence KinseyUD0.6310.235Bobby Jones370.1380.136Hassan Adams540.4360.137Allan RayUD0.237-0.138David Noel39-0.239-0.139
