Ukraine on Tuesday agreed by the Trump administration on an initial resolution, which in a major step towards ending the cruel war asked for a 30-day ceasefire when accepting Russia’s terms.
But even though the Trump administration is able to take Moscow to the conversation table and is capable of ending a three -year war under a new treaty, many security experts say that Russian President Vladimir Putin has no real pressure to do, can the Kremlin Head be trusted?
Under Putin, Russia has repeatedly violated formal international agreements, mainly from its former Soviet suzerainty to protect Ukraine’s sovereignty.
From the left, National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, State Secretary Marco Rubio, Saudi Arabia Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan, Saudi National Security Advisor Mozed bin Mohammad Al-Ayban, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andry Sibiha and Ukrainian Head of Presidency Office Andry Yerm Yarm Meat Zah, Tuesday. (Through Saul Loaib/Pool Photo AP)
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These agreements include the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, in which Ukraine agreed to abandon his nuclear arsenal in exchange for assurance on its regional integrity after the 1991 return from the Soviet Union, as well as a 1997 treaty on friends, cooperation, and partnership, in which Moscow and Qai honored each other’s current boards. Both deals were first violated in 2014 when Putin seized Crimea and supported the Russian separatist forces in the Donbas region.
2014–2015 minsk agreements, although criticized as “weak”, attempted to end Russia’s aggression in eastern Ukraine, an agreement that was never fully acquired and again violated by Putin’s 2022 invasion.
Some world leaders and security officials, including Ukrainian President Volodimir Zelanski, have warned that a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely to be received in the near period and is against Putin’s credibility in following any international agreement without serious security commitments from the West.
“The problem here is that the Russians have only understood the victory-defeat results, which means that they should ever look at themselves as people lost in the war to prevent them from attacking Ukraine again, as they did at the end of the Cold War,” Michael Ryan, European and NAM’s former Deputy Assistant Secretary of European and NATO policy was reported by the Defense Assistant Secretary and International Security Affairs, Fox News Digital.
Ukrainian soldiers set a cannon on fire near an eastern city of Bakhmut, where there is a fierce fight against Russian forces in the Donnetsk region of Ukraine on 15 May, 2023. (AP Photo/Libbakos)
Security officials interviewed by Fox News Digital argued that securing Ukraine’s future is not about “relying” on Putin. This is actually about putting Russia in a situation where Moscow will be more hindered in any future violations, as it can be wooed by an uncontrolled opportunity.
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“Even though a deal is over, Russia will continue to operate Clandstine operating worldwide in terms of geopolitical influence around the world,” former DIA intelligence officer, Rebaka Kofler told Fox News Digital, former KGB operative can be counted to continue election intervention campaigns, cyber wars, purposes and destiny operations.
“There is no such thing as peace in Russia’s strategic military thinking. You are in constant conflict.”
Ryan argued that the Trump-Brokered Peace deal needs to reflect lessons learned from already unsuccessful agreements, such as Versay’s WWI Treaty, which of course led Adolf Hitler and Nazi Germany.
“How to solve this puzzle? As we did after World War II … the reconstruction of Ukraine should include economic harmony with Russia,” Ryan said. “Russians saw how we rebuild the side of the Second World War in Germany and Japan. He hoped that we would do the same for Russia after the Cold War, but we did not.
He said, “If we want permanent peace for Ukraine and if we want to divide Russia from China, we cannot make the same mistake,” he said, other opponents are seeing how the West handles this geopolitical barrier.
Donnetsk Oblast, Ukrainian soldiers of Adar Battalion Training at an undetermined place on 4 April, 2023. (Diago Herera Cardo/Anadolu Agency through Getty Image)
When the Trump administration has several obstacles in the attempt of the Trump administration to interact with Putin, in which arguments on the occupied area, international recognition of occupied land, international assistance and support for Ukraine, international seizure of frozen Russian property, after standing at Zalenski’s house, for Pilalan, for Pillan, institute.
While traveling to Ukraine, Fox News Digital said, “Putin has officially canceled four Ukrainian oblasts as well as Crimea. But Moscow has not yet won none of the four.” “I cannot imagine that Ukraine would withdraw from areas they control, fought teeth and nails to protect areas.
“I also suspect that D Jure will provide recognition for the controls of West Moscow,” he said. “So, Putin will have to swallow all that in a peace deal.”
Each issue is a huge venture to interact alone, and Ukraine can be outlined this week, it can be outlined by the US to secure a deal coordinated by the US, Putin is unlikely to do so, according to Kofler, who had informed NATO years before the 2022 invasion of Putin’s plans.
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Cofler told Fox News Digital, “Putin is unlikely to give any concession as he believes that he is in a strong position.” “Inequality in combat capacity dramatically is Russia’s advocate on Ukraine, which is out and excluded as Putin infected the Russian army and economy at a war range seven years before Ukraine’s invasion.”
Russian President Vladimir Putin started a meeting in Kremlin in Moscow on 18 September 2023. (Sputnik/Mikhail Metzel/Pool)
“Putin believes that he has designed Russia to fight until the last Ukrainian and the last missile in the NATO’s arsenal,” he said, resonating the January 1 warning issued by NATO general secretary Mark Rutte, who said that over a period of three months, the production of Russia’s defense industry is equal to all years of NATO.
“Putin is not extremely likely to agree to a ceasefire as he does not want to give Ukraine, America and NATO a strategic stop to re -hold hands,” the poleer said. “He does not trust Washington. He does not trust President Trump that we trust Putin.
“He trusts Trump less than Biden because he could read Biden and predict his behavior. He could not read Trump because Trump is unexpected.”
Experts argued that there are lots of variables that can play during negotiations that will determine that Putin could be adequately accountable or “reliable” about future agreements.
The Ukrainian soldiers work with “pion” artillery in the northern direction of the Donbas Front Line as the Russia-Ukraine War continues in Donnetsk, Ukraine, 7 January, 2023. (Diago Herera Cardo/Anadolu Agency through Getty Image)
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Finally, Cofter said, Putin will not leave eastern Ukraine.
“Ukraine has always been a red line for Putin, in terms of which it has geopolitical control of Russia or West. And he will continue to apply this red line,” he said. “It is the only way to ensure that Putin does not invade another country, reinforcing NATO, increasing force currency, increasing defense expenses, securing their command-end-control network and developing real preventive and per-strati that addresses every prong of Putin’s strategy.”
