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    Home » Asteroid’s odds of hitting Earth fluctuate as Webb telescope is tasked with studying potential “city-killer”
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    Asteroid’s odds of hitting Earth fluctuate as Webb telescope is tasked with studying potential “city-killer”

    LuckyBy LuckyMarch 11, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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    Asteroid’s odds of hitting Earth fluctuate as Webb telescope is tasked with studying potential “city-killer”
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    An asteroid has a small chance of killing the earth below eight years from now, and astronomers are helping to study NASA’s James Web Space Telescope. Characteristic A potential “City-Killer,” The asteroid was first found in December and its Possibility of affecting our planet According to NASA and European Space Agency, there has been ups and downs since then.

    Space Rock is formally named 2024 YRR4. Scientists say the risk of contacting the Earth is remote – with NASA to give it a 3.1% chance before reducing its estimate by 0.28%, and the European agency put it to 0.16%, below 2.8% – when it eventually leads this part of the solar system to December 22, 2032. The crash was initially searched since 2024 YR4.

    In January, the European Space Agency placed obstacles to kill the asteroids at about 1%, before NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory estimated that the risk was 1.6% higher at the end of the month’s tail. Officials of both agencies have accepted to reduce the problems of 2024 YR4, the ESA said the current risk estimates are probably unnecessarily high as the people studying it are still uncertain about some of the major features of the asteroid.

    Right now, astronomers estimate that the asteroid is 40 meters and 90 meters wide, which is about 130 to 295 feet wide. For reference, an American football ground measures 100 yards – or 300 feet long.

    “It is very important that we improve our size estimate for 2024 YR4,” ESA said in a statement on Monday.

    Asteroid attacks on slim chances attacks Earth in 2032, its effects will be localized. But 2024 YRR4 has yet received a level 3 rating of 10 on the Torino Impact Herzard Scale, a fairly rare difference to represent “a close encounter” that warns public and scientific attention.

    The yellow dots show uncertainty of asteroids 2024 YRR4 when facing the Earth in 2032, based on the comments up to January 31, 2025.

    NASA


    ESA said, “An asteroid, this size affects the Earth on average every few thousand years and can cause serious damage to a local region.”

    If the asteroid collides with the planet, NASA stated that its possible impact sites may include Eastern Pacific Ocean, North South America, Atlantic Ocean, Africa, Arabian Sea and regions of South Asia.

    CBS News Space Consultant Bill Harwood said that if it landed in a populated area, it would be “really frightening,” but the effects would be localized.

    “It would be nothing like a rock that killed the dinosaur,” Harwood said. “It will not affect the global climate, but it will definitely be a disaster in every proportion. So we are all expecting that it does not happen.”

    The ESA said that for whatever is going to come, asteroids and to be prepared in a better way, astronomers will use the web telescope to collect data on their size, which cannot be seen accurately without telescope’s technology.

    Where scientists are generally limited to view asteroids depending on the amount of light that appears, it is reflected from the Sun, with bright light usually a significant indication of a large asteroid, the web telescope can calculate its infrared emissions, allowing more accurate estimates.

    The web will begin studying asteroids in March, when it appears the most bright, and again in May, according to the ESA. 2024 YRR4 will then disappear from the scene for some time, and astronomers will take time to explain the data of binoculars and will determine what it can mean to the path of asteroid before showing themselves again in 2028.


    Earth Asteroids Viewed with VLT near 2024 YRR4 By
    European Southern Observatory (ESO) On YouTube

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    Emily Mae Kajchor

    Emily Maa is a news editor at Czachor Cbsnews.com. She usually covers issues related to braking news, extreme weather and social and criminal justice. Emily Maa first wrote for outlets like Los Angeles Times, Buzzfaid and Newsweek.

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